Wednesday, September 2, 2009

Philippine Election 2010: (Google trends) SURVEY: Most popular Presidential aspirants for 2010 election

Senator Manny Villar leads the latest poll surveys as people's choice as the next Philippine president, according to the two giant public opinion polling organizations in the Philippines, SWS and Pulse Asia. These surveys are usually conducted on different places across the Philippines and the number of respondents who participates in this polls is limited ( around 1500 persons per survey). But with the events that happened recently and will happen in the next months in our country [ the death of ex-president Cory Aquino and INC's Executive minister Erano Manalo, the upcoming wedding of Mar Roxas and Korina Sanchez (yes guys, that counts), Sen Roxas just abandoned last Tuesday his ambition to be the next Philippine Idol...este President, the call for Senator Noynoy to run as the next President of our country, the LAKAS-KAMPI's choice for the 2010 election ,etc, etc..... the political landscape is changing rapidly!], the next poll surveys results are highly anticipated and much awaited.


Google Trends


But luckily, we internet users have the power to know everything, right? We can know who's HOT and who's NOT among the Presidential wannabees.Thank heavens, there's Google trend. Google trends according to Wikipedia is a public web facility of Google Inc., about Google Search, that shows how often a particular search-term is entered relative to the total search-volume across various regions of the world, and in various languages. How does it works? Google Trends analyzes a portion of Google web searches to compute how many searches have been done for the terms you enter, relative to the total number of searches done on Google over time. The result is then showed with a Search Volume Index graph. For more info about Google trends visit the link: http://www.google.com/intl/en/trends/about.html

With the use of Google trends, I was able to researched who among the Philippine presidential hopefuls is widely searched on the internet, the most popular in the cyber world.

The results is displayed below:

2010 Presidentiables:
GRAPH A:
PRESIDENTIABLES AS OF (SEPT 1, 2009)
GRAPH A
Senator Manny Villar
Senator Mar Roxas
Senator Noynoy Aquino



Graph A ( click on the image to enlarge)
GRAPH B:
Senator Loren Legarda
Vice President Noli de Castro
Ex President Joseph Estrada


Note: The line of Senator Legarda, and Vice President Noli De Castro did'nt appear on the graph because they do not have enough search volume to show graphs ( it means that few people searched for their names on the internet).

Graph B ( click on the image to enlarge)
GRAPH C
Bayani Fernando
Gilbert Teodoro
Chiz Escudero


Graph C ( click on the image to enlarge)

Note: The line of Gilbert Teodoro did'nt appear on the graph because they do not have enough search volume to show graphs ( it means that few people searched for their names on the internet).

Graph D
Ed Panlilio
Richard Gordon
Eddie Villanueva



Graph D ( click on the image to enlarge)

Graph E
Senator Jamby Madrigal
Mike Velarde
Senator Ping Lacson

Graph E ( click on the image to enlarge)




The Last two graphs clearly show the following:

  • Senator Noynoy Aquino's popularity on the internet skyrocketed on the month of August because of the death of her mother ex-president cory aquino.
  • Senator Manny Villar Tops Google Trends SURVEY among presidential hopefuls for 2010 election. But noticibly, his internet popularity is declining during the last period of August.
  • Senator Mar Roxas' cyberworld popularity is fluctuating, it may rise again after his Sept. 1 announcement and his wedding with Philippine's top caliber broadcaster Korina Sanchez.
  • Senator Francis Escudero popularity on the world wide web is stagnant. His graph equals to the graph of Ex-presidentEstrada (last period of August) both are on the bottom two on the graphs.
  • The most interesting is the popularity graph line of Bayani Fernando, where his popularity went up on the month of August (second to Villar), and was able to surpassed Chiz Escudero and joseph Estrada's popularity on the internet. Who knows, may be he is the dark horse of the race.
In my own research, Google Trends shows that the most popular presidential hopefuls on the w.w.w. a.k.a. world wide web are :
(As of Sept. 1, 2009 and subject to change)
1st
SENATOR MANNY VILLAR
2nd
MMDA CHAIRMAN BAYANI FERNANDO
3rd
SENATOR NOYNOY AQUINO
4th
SENATOR MAR ROXAS
5th
EX-PRESIDENT JOSEPH ESTRADA
6th
SENATOR CHIZ ESCUDERO.

Let's wait for the next SWS and Pulse Asia Survey, and see if my Google trend survey matches their poll results.


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